Movement Delphi.
Protest and Movement in the 21st century
Abstracts (english)
For the start of 2000 the
research group New Social Movements presents in the first issue the
results of an expert survey. According to the Delphi technique the perspectives
of political protest and social movements were evaluated. The first
wave included 27 experts giving their personal impression about the
future developements. Among them were scientists, journalists, politicians
and activists from different movements. For the seconde wave 15 experts
formulated their views in short statements, which are documented in
this issue as a multifaceted picture of the possible movement's future.
In the opening essay Andreas Buroturns on the "Century of Social
Movements - Causes, Motivations, Limits and Impact". Michael Hasse's
article "Protest and Movements in the 21st Century" presents
the results of the first wave in the Delphi survey. Ruud Koopmans focuses
on "Globalization, Individualization, Political Diversification.
Circumstances of a Confusing Movement Future". Dieter Rink reviews
"Social Movements in the 21st Century" while Ansgar Klein
presents an optimistic outlook: "Social Movements Remain an Important
Political Factor". Klaus Eder expects "The Future of Social
Movements among Indentity Politics and Business", Ingo Bode analyzes
"The Movement of the Third Sector and its Development". "More
Protest - Less Movements?" is the progonosis of Susann Burchardt
about contentious politics in the modern western democracies. Mechtild
Jansen presents her thesis with the title "Revival of the Modernization
Lead". Klaus Farin writes an e-mail from the future called "Prognosis
Out of the Future", Gero von Radow values protest as "The
Citizen's Sign of Life". Thomas Mayer presents the question "Becomes
Everything A Social Movement? ñ The End of the Dual Society".
The "Alternative Public Sphere in the 21st Century" as a subject
of communication between management and resistance is Gottfried Oy's
focus. Marianne Beisheim discusses the central question for social movements
in the future: "How Do You React to Globalization?" and Ingo
Take presents an answer: "Transnational Alliances as Reaction to
the Tasks of the 21st Century". Harald Gerstenkamp sees movements
as "Professionals on the World Stage, Based in the Regions. Future
NGOs Work Global and Local", while Heike Walk/Achim Brunnengräber
expect "Mobilization Weaknesses and Cosmopolitical Strength".
The issue is completed by a commented literature review for civil society,
citizen participation and protest movements in the 20th Century.
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